The Forecast Is Sunny

Yesterday morning, only 24 hours ago, the NWS (National Weather Service) predicted today’s weather would look like this:

But now, only 24 hours later, the NWS says today’s weather will look like this:

I have to ask, how useful was yesterday’s prediction? And how many super-computers running how many weather models did it take to fail at this prediction?

I’m going to make my own weather prediction. Here it is: “Tomorrow will be sunny.” You can print it right now and put it in your pocket. Whenever you want to know tomorrow’s forecast, just pull it out of your pocket and read it: “Sunny.”

Of course, there will be days when the forecast is wrong — just like with the NWS forecast — but I’ll bet it will be right more often than not. And there are advantages to doing it this way. I don’t have to buy and maintain high-powered super-computers running fancy models of the weather nor pay a staff of meteorologists and programmers. Another advantage: you don’t have to go to a computer and look up my forecast on the Internet to know what it will be; it’s right there in your pocket: “Sunny.”

And one day when the piece of paper holding my forecast becomes worn and tattered and you throw it away, you can continue on your way with my “virtual forecast” living in your head for quick and easy reference: “Tomorrow will be sunny.”

Try to remember my forecast, especially on gloomy days. Tomorrow will be sunny.